Trump's Approval Hits Unprecedented Lows: What Does This Mean?
President Donald Trump has hit a string of unwanted approval-rating and polling lows in 2026, with several major national surveys showing him underwater overall and weaker still on the economy.Trump has reached new approval lows and disapproval highs this year across polls from Big Data Poll, Fox News, American Research Group, Economist/YouGov and Pew Research Center.Weak presidential approval can become a major burden for the party in power before midterm elections, especially when voters are focused on prices, household finances and foreign conflict.The risk for Republicans is that Trump’s weak numbers are not confined to one pollster or one week. They stretch across national approval, economic management, inflation, Republican softness and the Iran war.Still, Trump has the same approval level Joe Biden had at a comparable point in his White House term, according to Reuters/Ipsos surveys, while drawing higher disapproval. In the 2022 midterm elections, Republicans would regain control of the House while Democrats would defy historical expectations for a president's first midterm by expanding their Senate majority.The White House has consistently rejected the idea that Trump’s approval numbers reflect weakness in his presidency.“No other President in history has accomplished more for the American people than President Trump, who is working tirelessly to create jobs, cool inflation, increase housing affordability, and more,” Davis Ingle, a White House spokesman, said in a statement.“The President has already made historic progress not only in America but around the world, and this is just the beginning as his agenda continues taking effect.”...Key PointsEconomist/YouGov found 34 percent approval and 62 percent disapproval from July 25 to July 27, a record-low net approval rating (those who approve minus those who disapprove) of minus 28 points.American Research Group put him at 30 percent approval and 67 percent disapproval in July, a net approval rating of minus 37 points.Big Data Poll found Trump at 39.4 percent approval and 57.4 percent disapproval in May, his lowest second-term rating in that series.Pew Research Center found Trump at 34 percent approval in April, calling it the lowest mark of his second term.CNBC and Washington Post/Ipsos both showed low marks for Trump on the economy, while Reuters/Ipsos found support for the Iran war at one in three Americans.Record Low Approval Across Four PollsThe latest low came in the Economist/YouGov poll conducted July 25 to July 27 among 1,559 U.S. adult citizens, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.That survey found 34 percent approved of Trump’s job performance, while a record 62 percent disapproved. YouGov said the approval figure was tied for his record low across either term, while his net approval of minus 28 points was also a record low in the series.The same poll showed pressure among voters who matter in close elections. YouGov found Trump’s net approval among independents had fallen to minus 53, down from minus 4 at the start of his second term. Among 45-to-64-year-olds, 33 percent approved and 63 percent disapproved, another new low for that group.A May Big Data Poll survey had already pointed in the same direction. Conducted from May 24 to May 27 among 3,121 registered voters, with an overall sampling error of plus or minus 1.8 percentage points, it found Trump at 39.4 percent approval and 57.4 percent disapproval. The pollster said that was a new low for his second term and the first time he had fallen into the 30s in its series.An even weaker result came from American Research Group. Its July 16 to July 20 survey of 1,100 adults nationwide, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, found that 30 percent approved of Trump’s job performance and 67 percent disapproved. Among registered voters, approval was 31 percent and disapproval was 67 percent.Earlier in the spring, Pew Research Center found Trump at 34 percent approval in a national survey of 5,103 U.S. adults conducted April 20 to April 26. Pew described that as the lowest mark of his second term.Economy Is Clearest DragEconomic approval may be the most important warning sign for Trump. Voters can absorb a lot of political noise, but prices, groceries, gas and household budgets are harder to talk around.The CNBC All-America Economic Survey, conducted July 8 to July 12 among 1,000 registered voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, found Trump at 38 percent approval and 60 percent disapproval on the economy. CNBC said that placed him more underwater on the issue than at any point in his political career in its polling.Washington Post/Ipsos found a similar problem. Its July 8 to July 13 survey of 2,648 U.S. adults, with a margin of error of plus or minus 1.9 percentage points, found that 33 percent approved of Trump’s handling of the economy, while 65 percent disapproved. The same poll found that the economy and high prices were the most cited factors influencing registered voters’ congressional vote, at 54 percent.That makes the economy more than a policy weakness. It is the main route by which national dissatisfaction could become midterm pressure.Republican Support Hits LowA Fox News Poll conducted May 15-18 among 1,002 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, put Trump’s overall job approval at 39 percent, while 61 percent disapproved—the highest disapproval figure recorded in Fox News polling during his presidency.In that survey, his Republican net approval dropped to 60, down 24 points from its 2025 peak, which Fox News described as an all-time low in its polling.The same survey showed only 29 percent of voters approved of Trump’s handling of the economy, while 71 percent disapproved, and inflation was his weakest issue, with 24 percent approval.Daron Shaw, the Republican pollster who conducts the Fox News Poll with Democrat Chris Anderson, said the shift was being driven by affordability concerns, warning that “non-MAGA Republicans and other core constituencies are wavering.”Iran War Adds Another Pressure PointThe Iran war has also become part of the approval story. Reuters/Ipsos reported on July 27 that just one in three Americans supported the war on Iran, the lowest reading in its polling since the conflict’s early days. Its July 24-26 survey sampled 1,246 U.S. adults nationwide and had a margin of error of 3 percentage points in either direction.The poll found that 69 percent of Americans, including four in 10 Republicans, said Trump had not clearly explained the goals of U.S. military involvement in Iran. Reuters also reported that his overall approval rating had risen to 37 percent, up three points from the prior month, showing how foreign conflict and presidential approval can move in different directions at once.What Happens NextPolls can move. Gas prices can fall, economic sentiment can improve and a noisy foreign-policy cycle can fade. But for now, Trump’s numbers look less like a single bad survey than a pattern.If those numbers harden through the fall, the midterms may become exactly what presidents try to avoid: a national vote on public frustration with the White House.